Semi-transparent, colored cadmium telluride photovoltaic panels in agrivoltaics
https://www.cell.com/cell-reports-physical-science/fulltext/...
339 points by - 229 commentshttps://www.cell.com/cell-reports-physical-science/fulltext/...
339 points by - 229 comments
Most flowers in 7b don't want extreme sun. We use shade cloth frequently, so solar coverage would be fine and of course have the energy co-production. Cut flowers aren't harvested mechanically at our scale, so we wouldn't have to worry about tractor access.
Meanwhile, more and more food is produced under cover for a lot of good reasons. Polytunnels, glass houses. You might get some summer shade from solar but what about season extension at the beginning of spring/end of fall? Depending on your crop and location, that could mean 4-8 extra weeks a year. What if you do geothermal energy generation for the tunnel? Now you can grow through the winter and not need the same footprint as solar. That's more appealing to me.
Anyway, I'm forever mad at corn ethanol and we should at least replace all that with solar farms. That's probably the right place to start. But also, again, zoning...
I've done hobbyist exotic (legal!) mushroom farming for a while, at a scale that is more than I could use but not like 100x what I could use. I've thought about selling but it seems like a lot of hassle doing the marketing and business parts of it.
How do you sell? Do you have a distributor that purchases product from you or is it a farmers market type deal?
Thats around 50k sq miles, which would generate ~5x more electricity than the US uses
Zone 7b: −15 to −12.2 °C
Zone 7a: −17.8 to −15 °C
Zone 8a: −12.2 to −9.4 °C
Its also not just the average minimum temp, its the average minimum temp over the last thirty years. A few years ago my zone changed from 6a to 6b following the regular reevaluations the USDA does.
Edit: the A/B zones were developed in 1990
It might be the same for ag, at some point energy companies are going to tell you how much you need to rent their panels / what you're allowed to cultivate / your revenue is going to depend so much on them rather than the culture that you'll effectively become just a field with solar panels and no culture
Perhaps if ag people used some kind of "cooperative structure" they can fight this
Something around 2500W of solar can provide enough energy to drive an EV 12,000 miles a year.
When it comes to zoning. The state should require offices to install chargers for employees cars when the solar share of electricity generation is highest.
https://ourworldindata.org/battery-price-decline
The price of battery storage is dropping exponentially, just as the price of solar power has. Eventually, the price becomes pretty trivial.
> The price of battery storage is dropping exponentially
We're at the flat end of things. Even if this trend continues, there won't be another 99% reduction coming.
> Eventually, the price becomes pretty trivial.
Only if you can scale manufacturing and materials the same way. Hopefully not with Lithium, because that's just not abundant enough.
1.78 million USD at current exchange rate. Before sales tax, but if you're buying at this scale, you claim that tax back anyway:
https://www.ladeengel.de/Batteriespeicher/Grossspeicher-ab-5...
> Only if you can scale manufacturing and materials the same way. Hopefully not with Lithium, because that's just not abundant enough.
1. Sodium is already cost-competitive with lithium, for batteries.
2. There's loads of lithium all over the place, the hard part of using it is that it's spread out everywhere rather than particularly concentrated. Like, we're talking 150 million tons of "reserves", 250 billion tons dissolved in the seawater, and plausibly 5 quadrillion tons in the bulk of the planet's rock.
You could make hamster wheels an attractive energy source with enough tax refunds. That's not an especially compelling argument when arguing about the global ramifications of a new technology. Tax breaks don't magically make alternative fuel sources better on any given axis. They shift incentives, but that power isn't infinite.
It's called "Value Added Tax" in English (UK has same rules despite Brexit), because it works out as the tax on the value you add: Business 1 digs €1 of stuff out of ground, charges their customer e.g. 15% VAT; business 2 buys it for €1.15, claims that €0.15 back always, processes the stuff into €2 of new stuff, charges their customer (in this case) €0.30; business 3 buys it for €2.30, claims that €0.30 back always; etc. all the way to the end customer or export market.
If you're spending millions on power management equipment, you're absolutely a business, and absolutely will get to claim this tax back, and you effectively owe tax only on the net benefit it brings. Electricity is also subject to VAT, though the rates are allowed to vary, and the e.g. UK electricity VAT rate is 5% while the general rate is 20%.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value-added_tax#Comparison_wit...
An old XKCD what if: https://what-if.xkcd.com/128/
> What in my pocket actually contains more energy, my Zippo or my smartphone? What would be the best way of getting the energy from one to the other? And since I am already feeling like Bilbo in this one, is there anything else in my pocket that would have unexpected amounts of stored energy?
Which in part had:
> A container of butane the size of a phone battery could, in principle, power the phone about 13 times longer than the battery itself could. The obvious question, then, is "why doesn't my phone run on propane?"
...
Also http://www.jefflewis.net/blog/2012/01/how_much_gas_to_charge...
And while that's based on a study from Exon (no longer accessible)... but the math part is math no matter who does the math.
> So, the claim that there's enough energy in a gallon of gas to charge an iPhone every day for 20 years seems pretty reasonable (in reality, when you look at the efficiencies, you won't be able to put all that energy into charging the phone).
> An iPhone may not be huge, but 20 years is a pretty long time. It really just goes to show how much energy gasoline contains, and why it's so useful for powering vehicles.
https://www.global.toshiba/ww/news/corporate/2003/03/pr0501....
lithium recycling is _expensive_, batteries don't have an universal design to make the recycling a standard protocol... facilities and transportation of recycling/recycled batteries is also not a child's play - i highly doubt, given our grief (think like PET plastic being super easy to recycle yet the amount of it on oceans), we'll make green energy not green, otherwise we would be dropping money on nuclear research rather than technology that worns out in 20-25 years of use and produce thousands and thousands of metric tons of thrash
31 times, according to https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2501605122. That’s from pril 2025, so possibly slightly outdated, but I don’t think technical advances can have pushed that to “very conservatively 30-50 times as much”.
Depending on what you want to do with the energy, you are right it can easily be 50 times as much of useful work. For example, ICE cars turn over 80% of that energy into heat, electric cars less than 20%. That’s a factor of 4 in conversion ratio.
Corn ethanol never was about the energy. Corn ethanol needs so after several years of crop failure you just swap that corn with other culture and people do not starving.
(Disclaimer: I know nothing about farming)
I somewhat agree - dumping pesticides and fertilizer into the ground every year and then letting it pollute rivers is low-key insanity. But then you look at just how much farmland is out there and realize some crops just can't be put indoors, probably ever.
There are lots of variables for sure, but I do wonder how much more efficient indoor growing must get to overcome outdoor growing? Land value is vastly different between regions, so does labour, crop type, etc.
p.s. Tom Scotts recent video on strawberries was amazing - special mites to fend off other bugs and UVC light sanitizing was a bit of wow for me.
Ag runoff is certainly a thing.
But also, if you harvest a crop, those are elements that are leaving the field and need to be replenished. Annual fertilization will always be a thing for any crop or combination of crops, if only for micronutrients.
They aren’t talking about growing wheat indoors, and when they talk about tunnels it’s a bed crop in a field with plastic over it like you’d see over a box in the city.
Indoor growing has some cool stuff going for it, but you’re not going to grow row crops that we currently harvest headers wider than your greenhouse.
You’re also unlikely to put those under solar, if you’re going to do solar on that patch, it’s probably not worth farming a crop that produces 1000$ per acre under it when the solar is going to be producing way more than that.
My area averages about 175 bushels/acre for trash soil and closes in on 250/acre for prime River bottoms.
$1125 an acre without expenses is what you can expect in a GREAT year. But that's every year and it's insured against crop failure. The last years that we farmed, about 70% of our gross went to expenses. So figure about $450/acre in profit (mostly to pay for my house and food and what not).
Can electricity compete with that? I genuinely do not know.
An "acre" is about 4047m² in modern units, so at "one sun" of 1000W/m² you would get 4.047 megawatts per acre. Multiply by the factors above, you actually 89kW/acre. A year is 8766 hours, so that's 780MWh/acre/year.
Suppose you get a PPA signed for 3 cents a kilowatt hour, US$30/MWh. That's US$23400/acre/year. But that's revenue, not profit. You can compare it to the US$1125/acre/year you give above. So what are the expenses?
The most fundamental cost here is the solar modules. 4.047MW at 50% coverage and 22% efficiency is still 445kW peak. At the current US$0.15/Wp in international markets, that's US$67000 to plant that field with panels, noticeably more than the US$675 you report to plant it with corn.
But, if you're still measuring land in acres, as if we were in the Canterbury Tales, you're probably in the US, where modules cost roughly double what they cost in the rest of the world, due to bipartisan tariffs to protect US fossil fuel interests. And the balance-of-plant costs are typically about double the cost of the modules alone. So, instead of US$67000, you're probably looking at US$300k for those 445kW (or 597 horsepower, or the power of roughly 1100 American-football running backs, if you're more comfortable with those units.)
US$23k per year from a US$300k investment is about 7% ROI, which is probably profitable but not wildly so. And if you don't have a signed PPA, you can expect that revenue to decline, as cheaper panels and power electronics drive the value of daytime generation to zero, and household units that don't need such high balance-of-plant costs reduce demand for utility-scale generation. Also, you can expect heavy industry to move to countries where solar power costs less, reducing demand.
The cost of the land isn't really significant at these investment levels.
Your costs are also wildly off. Panels are like 25% of cost. Rest is inverters, mounting, labour and most significant - connection to grid.
That might have changed if cost reductions in other parts of solar power plants have lagged behind cost reductions in the panels. But actually mainstream PV modules cost exactly the same today as they did in Q2 of 02024 (https://www.solarserver.de/photovoltaik-preis-pv-modul-preis...), which is when the report is about, so, if anything, we'd expect to see them taking up a larger fraction of the total cost, since the other components presumably have gotten cheaper as they've moved down the learning curve. (The "low-cost" and "high-efficiency" categories did get cheaper, but, as I understand it, the former are not generally used for utility-scale plants.)
The connection to the grid is a question of politics, not cost and resources.
Here's the fun thing: if humanity were one united species instead of a bunch of tribes willing to fuck each other up every few decades, we might just go and grow crops where they grow the best, maybe with a bit of redundancy to guard against natural disasters and whatnot.
But unfortunately we are not, and so we have massive overproduction going on, which in turn means without insane amounts of subsidies (25% of the EU budget goes to farm subsidies!) farms could not survive.
If the subsidies were killed, even shit solar panels would yield more money than a lot of land could yield with growing crops.
For few years, then every solar farm would go bankrupt all while food supplies gone.
TBF New Zealand is one of the few countries that removes subsidies from farmers - it was terrible for few decades, but eventually turned out to be great.
If there is one thing effectively infinite, it is humanity's demand for energy, particularly with the growing demand from switching transportation and heating over to electricity.
And food supply wouldn't be gone, it would just migrate e.g. to Ukraine.
Which was flat for the last decades in the Western world until the AI boom started. The demand was increasing, but efficiency gains were negating it. Generation was increasing ~2% per year.
Often these "solutions" introduce more problems than they solve. One example being a solar farm designed to be grazed by sheep where the panels are so low to the ground that farmers can't bring in tractors and cut hay when the ruminants are gone for a season.
The best solution is still to put solar panels and farmland in different places where each can be optimized without concern for the other.
There's significant evidence "add solar panels" is an optimization to at least some kinds of farmland.
> farmers can't bring in tractors and cut hay when the ruminants are gone for a season
That season is typically "winter", and you wind up without much hay to cut at that point.
As much as I want solar everywhere - it far from a sure thing for making/saving money.
they also have to be able to get "bumped" by a brush hog, plow, and whatever else without collapsing and taking down a bunch of panels.
Please omit snarky phrases like this from comments on HN. The guidelines make it clear we're trying for something better here. https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
No one's banning hay fields. You can do both.
https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/food-and-farms/wheres-t...
"The solar canopy also protects the grasses, keeping them green and dewy, even as nearby fields blanch and crisp in the sunlight. Shallanberger rotates the herd every few days, a key tenet of regenerative farming philosophy, so they munch on fresh grass while the rest of the field grows back. They move through all 15 paddocks in about 45 days; if the site relied on mechanical mowers, they’d trim every 45 days, too."
"Vegetation management is one of the most significant costs for solar plant maintenance in the Southeast, Shallenberger said. In the first six months, the cattle took care of about 75% of the mowing — he had to bring in conventional equipment for some woody weeds that the cattle don’t care for. Once the pasture is more established, the herd could handle up to 95% of the site’s mowing needs."
> Reasons like this are why this type of tech will always be popular on HN but they just can't figure out why farmers don't want it.
Farmers come in different sizes, shapes, locations.
The largest https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cattle_station is several times the size of the state of Rhode Island, and chances are there're some spots where a bit of shade is welcome. I can also assure you no one's mowing/haying that size a property.
What do you think "trim" is here, and why do you think anyone would do it?
How much do you think a hay field would grow in six weeks?
The animals are doing the trimming instead of the mowers. This isn't super complicated logistically; each takes tall grass and turns it into short grass. You can rent goats to clean up shit like poison ivy, even.
> How much do you think a hay field would grow in six weeks?
The one by my house grows maybe a foot in that time, which is why they rotate pastures. Even a handful of horses can keep an acre worth of pasture quite well cropped.
The animals keep the grass and weeds under the solar panels trimmed, saving on mowing. This also provides food to the animals, who love grass, meaning you don’t need as much hay during the spring/summer seasons. The cows get fed, the solar field gets maintained, and the farm gets energy output as a bonus.
Leave a grassy field untrimmed for a few months and guess what you wind up with? A hay field.
Nor are farmers immune to the "vote against your own interests" political bullshit that often comes up around renewables. Look at how many voted for the guy who started a trade war as a thank you.
(Plenty of bakers here, by the way. I used a literal ton of flour during COVID keeping the neighborhood supplied with sourdough. And I give hay to horses ~5x a week; I've seen what animals can do to a grassy field.)
If that's the case, then I suggest you work on that and broaden your life experiences.
We could grow some crops in that 1% of land and provide reams of clean power to the world. And the more we restore land to nature, as opposed to our mono-crops and cows, the more co-benefits we reap.
Can they mow a 1,000 acres and get through ruts from feral hogs and everything else? If so, then that's awesome (i really don't know) but you have to think of the scale.
As an example where I think it would work: industrial greenhouses.
But surely only certain places need to do this? for the UK, you need to make hay for the winter, assuming that your meadows flood, or are otherwise muddy. But if your in one of the more temperate areas of the southern USA, surely you don't need to do that?
The silage that you get, then, is basically like a kind of grass sauerkraut, and smells exactly like you'd expect.
That combined with "draff" - distillery mash, the spent malt from brewing "pot ale" for making whisky, and a certain amount of shredded sugar beet tends to make up the majority of winter fodder.
Draff is great because it's still fermenting slowly and generating a lot of heat, so the cows are eating hot food in the winter. It's mostly the fibrey bits of the barley malt, which we can't eat but which cows and sheep - having cellulase in at least one of their stomachs - do incredibly well on. It's absolutely no use for anything else, humans can't eat it and it doesn't really compost down. It just rots, stinks, and emits masses of carbon dioxide and methane when it does. Far better for the environment to lock all that up in a cow.
Ideally your fields don't flood because you plant crops in the autumn that stay in the ground over winter to germinate in the spring, and if they get flooded that's it, you've lost the lot.
You tend not to see soya-based or other leguminous food here very much, because it's expensive, it has to be shipped halfway round the planet, and it's ineffective - you get shitty meat that no-one wants to buy.
You need the cows to graze pasture, chew up the grass, break down all that tough cellulose and poo it out as incredibly highly refined fertiliser.
We eat, just about everywhere in the world, because there's six inches of earth, it rains sometimes, and cows and pigs shit solid gold.
Don’t they just.. release it?
It doesn't, of course, the most of it gets turned into cow.
This works for trees, which you can turn into, say, a house, where it might last hundreds of years.
I'm curious about how you think the physics of it work for a cow.
Methane release varies by animal type: https://reporter.anu.edu.au/all-stories/kangaroos-the-soluti...
Understanding why is ongoing: https://www.uow.edu.au/media/2015/why-kangaroos-really-emit-...
That meat gets eaten and largely turned into poo and gas (as byproduct of using up that stored energy), yeah? You're sequestering it maybe for a few years; meat cows live about two years.
> “Kangaroos have a very different stomach from that of ruminants such as sheep and cows,” Professor Clauss said. “We think that the methane is low because of the way food moves through the kangaroo stomach, and not because of a unique gut fauna.”
> Dr Munn and Professor Clauss are critical of efforts to try to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from ruminant livestock by replacing their gut fauna with that from kangaroos or other low-methane emitting animals, which they believe is unlikely to succeed.
You're not raising kangaroos in Scotland, right?
So yes, you're correct - I'm not raising roos in Scotland, but we do look into ruminants, biomes, etc here.
These are complex chains that make up the surface level carbon cycle. Not every path leads to carbon dioxide / methane production, the gas creation ratios can be tweaked by the paths taken.
The problematic carbons are those that are additional - those once buried across the course of millions of years, some millions of years ago and now being bought to the surface in an extremely short timescale (one century and half, roughly)
This all goes to your question if you care to look into it.
In Scotland?
> The problematic carbons are those that are additional - those once buried across the course of millions of years, some millions of years ago and now being bought to the surface in an extremely short timescale (one century and half, roughly)
Meat production accounts for somewhere between 15 and 20% of human emissions. It is a significant part of the problem.
> the gas creation ratios can be tweaked by the paths taken.
To a point. Producing and consuming meat is gonna emit carbon. This isn’t disputable.
Already answered. Engage brain, treat it as a puzzle.
> Meat production accounts for somewhere between 15 and 20% of human emissions. It is a significant part of the problem.
Is it? Or is it just cycling the carbon in the land / sea close surface layer?
> To a point.
The point being it is something that can be modified and addressed.
> Producing and consuming meat is gonna emit carbon.
Recycle carbon, rather than dredge up and release fossil carbon might be a better framing for any wanting to get to the root of the issue.
> and consuming meat
Shooting and eating kangaroos, feral camels, goats, donkeys, clean skin bulls, etc. somehow adds in a significant manner to AGW ?
Are you _sure_ about that?
We know it isn't. Immense amounts of crops like alfalfa are grown, with extensive fertilizing via petroleum products, to feed inefficiently to cattle.
> The point being it is something that can be modified and addressed.
It's enough of a fight over clearly-better extant solutions like solar. The near-term fix to climate change isn't gonna be evolving cows to burp less.
> Recycle carbon, rather than dredge up and release fossil carbon might be a better framing for any wanting to get to the root of the issue.
This describes a tiny percentage of cattle raising practices.
> Shooting and eating kangaroos, feral camels, goats, donkeys, clean skin bulls, etc. somehow adds in a significant manner to AGW ?
This describes a tiny percentage of meat production. You're not going to feed Australia off the kangaroo population, let alone the world.
Only if you assume that the finger-in-the-air guesswork around how much emissions you get from livestock is correct.
What do you think would be better?
Less meat? 10-50x as many calories per ton of CO2 generated.
A well managed grass meadow is a carbon sink. As the parent says, the cows graze and shite which causes more growth. if you rotate your cow out before they eat everything back to the earth, it makes the grass grow thicker.
because not all of the grass is eaten, a fair portion is left to eventually die off and form the next layer of soil, trapping the carbon there.
The reason why cows are considered global warming is because forests tend to be felled to form feeding lots. Or in more tropical areas, grasslands that then decay precipitously. (see dustbowl causes in the prairies and why the USA spent a huge amount on soil preservation)
Its not a one size fits all thing. In Aus, over grazing leads to desertification, which causes sun baking. This means the soil is baked into a water resisting layer that causes flash floods. But, because its flash flooding, the water isn't dwelling and soaking in, causing the place to get drier.
In Yorkshire, overgrazing lead to the tree-less desolate expanse which is the dales.
In the lowlands of Scotland, they went and planted a shit tonne of pine to try and compensate/bring back forestry, but that turned the soil acid and killed the streams.
This is not the sole reason, no.
Immense amounts of fossil fuel (and water) go into fertilizing alfalfa, corn, etc. fields that are grown to inefficiently feed cattle with.
You grow the trees elsewhere. Like we currently do. Forests make good carbon sinks.
The source can be attacked, the transmission infra can be attacked, the delivery point can be censored.
I think most people want highly distributed, reliable, affordable power. That's why off-grid tech is experiencing such a boom.
I live in a 36' skoolie, so I'm nomad-indexed, but I can confirm that over the past 10 years or so, most RV-lifers have transitioned their focus from recreation / comfort to off-grid experimentation. Essentially everywhere I go in the US, if I'm camped near others, they are going to have minimum viability for boondocking. That was not the case when I started.
Especially amidst the current political instability and apparent looming collapse of the US state, one of the simplest things that most of us can do is stabilize off-grid power in our neighborhoods, and that is quietly happening all over the place.
So, the role of vertically integrated solar (both literally and metaphorically) has more to do with the grid shape that serves our stability needs, and less to do with large-scale differences in efficiency.
What are we comparing against exactly that’s more resilient?
Who cares? One isolated field of solar represents a negligible amount of power at grid scale. Nobody is going to bother to go around attacking each individual field because the "ROI" of attacking a high-voltage transmission line (the kind that brings power from multiple thermal plants to a city) is so much higher.
Just take a look at the multiple fridge freezer attacks in the EU this year.
I hope anyone building networked infrastructure TODAY would take security more seriously.
And if they don't? Their investment wouldn't have survived in today's world wherever it went.
Maybe I was unclear: that's exactly my point! That's the problem with grid scale for most everyday uses.
In 2026, it's fairly trivial to have a setup such that, if "the grid" fails, I don't even notice for days. That's a nice feature! And it makes sense to build out communities that way from now on.
"The grid" is great for industry, but for residential, micro-grids are clearly the future. Allowing the state and the electric company to cut us off - intentionally or otherwise, let alone having no power during a disaster when it's needed most, is a very silly thing to trade for a tiny efficiency increase.
I sleep well at night knowing I have four bigass AGMs under me.
Can you elaborate, please? What exactly has changed, and over what time period?
The big changes seem to have been:
* Better / more varied solar panels
* Lithium batteries (which I don't use for a house bank, but still benefit from by dint of them having driven the price deep-cycle lead batteries down)
* USB-C everything
When I first started this lifestyle, almost everyone had lead-acid batteries powering an inverter, and a zillion wall warts converting power back to DC. Some people had solar for sure, but a solid majority only camped where they were able to plug in.
At festivals, powered sites sold out quickly and at a premium. Dispersed camping in national forests was the purview of tent campers, truck campers, and people who don't use much power (ie, not a ton of remote workers). New campgrounds always focused on power pedestals and seemed to regard that as the MVP.
Now, festivals are a sea of solar and/or off-grid-cooled beers. Campgrounds are often a de-facto swap meet of usb-c oddities (I have a USB-C coffee grinder - what a world!). Dispersed camping in national forests are often transient standing desk communities. Nary an inverter in sight - everything is direct-to-USB-C.
The difference between most people needing to plug in within a few hours in order to have their basic comforts vs. being able to live indefinitely without the grid has significantly changed what it feels like to be on the road.
Tiny deployments of off-grid solar beat the pants off that model.
How many tiny off-grid solar deployments are required to power the people and industries of a small city of two million?
Many acres of grain are required to feed such a city, why not many fields of solar panels, community batteries (roughly one per 1-2 hundred houses), smart grids, etc.
I think we're gonna see more and more EVs double as off-grid power banks, for example.
Cool, cool.
So what do you run the engine on? How many single points of failure?
Mechanically, almost every component is a single-point-of-failure: drivetrain, brakes, cooling system, etc.
But I don't actually move all that much; I only move from place to place maybe a dozen times a year - less some years.
And while I'm stationary, it's pretty easy for me to have fully off-grid power. And a composting toilet lasts me a full loop around the USA without needing to empty the solid container.
But I didn't mean for my point to be about mobile living, just identifying that one of the main benefits of solar as opposed to nuclear is that control over power distribution can be scaled radically downward.
So it looks like nuclear would be a pretty good option here.
The real world however, a farmer owns a specific plot of land, has $w of capital in the back, owes $x in loans, owes y tons of crop, owns z tractors and seeds. Without centralized planning, plopping down solar panels in an optimal place isn't how the real world works.
The real world however, a farmer owns a specific plot of land, has $w of capital in the back, owes $x in loans, owes y tons of crop, owns z tractors and seeds. Without centralized planning, plopping down solar panels in an optimal place isn't how things work.
is it?
this isn’t an either-or question. a farm owner may want to add some revenue with electricity generation. just like a hospital may want to cover their parking lot to offset costs.
at giant scale do these solar location choices optimize the absolutely best use of land for cheapest possible electricity generation? no. but at small scale it can make sense for these individual owners
https://electrek.co/2026/10/05/six-flags-has-installed-one-o...
The article’s biggest claim is that devoting one percent of US farmland to agrivoltaics could cover 20 percent of the country’s electricity, pointing at the Texas to Nebraska to California corridor, which is exactly where big mechanized farms are most common.
They run large equipment (combines, sprayer booms, center pivot irrigation systems[1], etc). To keep that working under panels you need tall posts, wide spans, and a layout that matches the equipment paths, which would push structural cost significantly above a ground installation. All maintenance would require a boom truck, not just a ground crew. And center pivots in particular (very common) need an entire circle cleared for the system to pivot, meaning a multi-acre span with no posts for the pivot to hit, which is simply infeasible.
That’s before accounting for pesticide spray and dust on the PVs, or the logistical burden of running PV crews through a working farm.
It’s also worth noting that the study itself was broccoli, which is hand harvested and about the best case crop for this. Even so, the broccoli took 25 extra days to mature. On a farm running multiple rotations a season that lost time has a real cost, separate from the structural costs.
This innovation has a lot more promise on smaller plots. Co-ops, market gardens, specialty crops, and the like that don’t rely on large equipment. I’d be surprised to ever see it on a large farm.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Center-pivot_irrigation
Something I've always absent-mindedly wondered about when agrivoltaics comes up is integrating a gantry/rail system of sorts for the farm equipment. It's definitely infeasible for many reasons, but it's fun to think about. Instead of equipment pulled by tractors, have the equipment ride above the field on rails, held up by the same poles the solar panels are on.
Unless we intentionally replace them with less efficient automation, it’s a hard sell.
It’s really more of a physics problem than an automation problem.
There are no universal one setup suits all solutions here.
One advantage of large scale agrisolar projects (trialled since at least 2020) is better moisture retention through shade of increased condensation drip.
It's a balancing act - you appear to have a position hard up one end of a see saw.
March 2021: https://assets.cleanenergycouncil.org.au/documents/resources...
Watch the Australian Agrisolar CRC partners: https://www.cooperativeresearch.org.au/resources/about-the-c...
To put some numbers: ~40% of the corn grown in the US (approx. 5.4 billion bushels out of roughly 14.9 billion bushels total production) goes toward ethanol production
> His specialty was alfalfa, and he made a good thing out of not growing any. The government paid him well for every bushel of alfalfa he did not grow. The more alfalfa he did not grow, the more money the government gave him, and he spent every penny he didn't earn on new land to increase the amount of alfalfa he did not produce. Major Major's father worked without rest at not growing alfalfa. On long winter evenings he remained indoors and did not mend harness, and he sprang out of bed at the crack of noon every day just to make certain that the chores would not be done. He invested in land wisely and soon was not growing more alfalfa than any other man in the county. Neighbours sought him out for advice on all subjects, for he had made much money and was therefore wise. “As ye sow, so shall ye reap,” he counselled one and all, and everyone said “Amen.
You subsidize it so the farmers have capacity to swiftly increase food production in any moment.
By design it should provide the most efficient way to get that capacity, not to provide the most efficient way to get energy.
I'm all about sound long-term land management and subsidized capacity. The current system is not that.
Also: Many plants don't want/need full sun. In fact, they adapt by varying production of a chemical called zeaxanthin throughout the day to manage the amount of energy they take in.
Partially shading crops with bifacial panels (which are semi-translucent) can be beneficial to the crops as well as producing energy.
https://www.science.org/content/article/too-much-good-thing
https://farmbuy.com/1595-florina-road-katherine-nt-0850-4368...
1% of panel cost according to Gemini.
A 100 acre solar plant in Ohio would make well about $1m-$1.5m in revenue
Why would you increase the cost and complexity to try to increase your revenue from $1-1.5m to a massive $1-1.5m?
Or you could just lease the land to a solar operator for about $100k a year, with no expenses
It's a solution looking for a problem.
So central land use planning? Rural America won't be that Commumist -- not even by law, just look at the way it votes.
Freedom means a farmer can do whatever they want with their land
> restrictive
So which is it?
What I'm saying - these dual-use agrivoltaics are for higher-margin crops, where land is somewhat constrained.
there needs to be some way to harvest and transport electricity like you do corn or some other crop. Like an 18 wheeler size lipo that is charged up and delivered to a train of lipo cars and discharged. Then that train goes somewhere and connects to the grid and offloads all that electricity. Rinse/repeat. It's not as efficient as directly connecting ot the grid but maybe it's more feasible than waiting years for a grid connection.
https://www.anthropocenemagazine.org/2025/04/new-study-compa...
> The department has raised its corn production forecast by 234 million bushels to 16 billion bushels.
https://bioenergytimes.com/usda-raises-2026-27-us-corn-use-f...
About a third! Way more than I thought. I wonder how much of that would have to be covered in panels to get the same energy.
[1] https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/ethanolcapacity/ [2] https://afdc.energy.gov/files/u/publication/fuel_comparison_...
soil is a living thing, and varies by location. Clay, loam, sandy, etc etc. Then there is a layer of fungus that forms filaments. The roots of the plants grow into this, and then the invertebrates move shit about creating voids and pockets of nutrients.
ploughing can be disruptive to this. but more likley pumping pesticides and herbicies, along with moving the water table causes it to die off leaving only part of the biome behind.
Basically think of it like your intestines. You can live with a "clean"[1] gut, but you'll have the shits constantly, which'll make you dry and windy. Same with soil.
[1] think post antibiotic.
It is well known fact, that US do that so 20% of its population wouldn't die from starvation over the next 30 years with significant probability.
So while broccoli yields may have "held steady," it's possible they could make even more gains elsewhere where it might normally be too sunny. So leafy vegetables like spinach might be doing equivalently fine under the magenta shades in New Jersey, but might actually be even better in Texas.
> Broccoli cultivated under them grew more slowly, requiring an additional 25 days for harvest, but produced roughly the same yield. Meanwhile, these magenta sunscreens improved the microclimate below, reducing the “vapor pressure deficit”—a measure of when plants need to halt photosynthesis to avoid excessive water loss. This may have improved the plants’ efficiency in converting sunlight into plant biomass, which increased by 2.8- to 4.5-fold compared to unshaded plants.
> The shaded plants’ levels of macronutrients such as calcium, magnesium, and phosphorus were either higher than or similar to unshaded plants, while levels of some micronutrients such as iron, copper, and zinc were slightly lower.
1) extend the growing season/climate control
2) scatter direct light into bright ambient light meaning that plants aren't scorched.
"leafy" plants like pumpkins, tomatoes, cucumbers etc "wilt" when in direct sun. they go floppy to stop evaporation. THis means they don't grow as fast. If you even out that light so its not directly heating the living shit out of the leaves, they grow faster, because they have less time in stress.
These panels absorb that light before it gets to the plant, so it's a win-win.
Why plants are green is a mystery. There is no accepted explanation. A compelling theory is that during the first ocean oxidation event, dissolved iron started crashing out as iron oxide, which strongly absorbs the green light.
Example of a research paper using it: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/290224766_Investiga...
You might also be interested in https://phys.org/news/2026-11-air-holes-silicon-wafers-flat....
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wavelength-division_multiplexi...
Re-greening at a profit?
Reflect back shortwave IR sunlight below the bandgap of the solar panels.
Make the solar panels "black" at longer IR wavelengths corresponding to the temperature of the panels and to IR windows in the atmosphere, to maximize emission of heat back into space.
Or is the idea that there aren't now, but they could be built?
I'm just imagining that you are going to need a lot of vertical clearance for tractors, and support posts will have to be widely spaced enough that the horizontal beams supporting the panels will have to be quite strong, and that at some point this is less solar panels in a field, and more like constructing a building with solar panels on its roof.
It's hard to see how this would work well with corn, since corn is pretty tall, corn harvesters are pretty huge, and putting panels even high enough for a different set of smaller, realistic harvesters would still require supports that I can't imagine would be cost effective given all the other hurdles they would cause.
Other crops like cotton, alfalfa, and hay aren't as tall, but have the same harvesting problems.
Most harvesting efficiency gains are directly tied to GIGANTIC machines. Farming is insanely efficient and competitive. It's hard to see how smaller machines could be viable and no one would have discovered it until this tech.
I'd guess there is far more potential in grazing land (unrelated to this tech), which is already actively being developed at scale.
There are some small organic farms using a system of chained paper pots and frames to quickly fill them with soil and sow with seeds, then once they're sprouted you use a hand pulled machine that spreads the chain out while directly placing each plant into the soil automatically.
Since it's an almost free byproduct of copper electrorefining (>1% concentration in copper anode slime, but low annual production of ~800 tons, limiting CdTe panel production to ~100GW/year short term [1]), I don't think that mining it in space is ever gonna pay off for terrestrial panel production, because if it was priced somewhat comparably to platinum group metals you could never ever justify any demand for it (panels would be much too expensive compared to alternatives, tellurium is already a relevant cost factor for them despite being cheap-ish) => and you'd obviously use all interplanetary mining/transport capability on platinum and its ilk instead.
[1]: https://www.pv-magazine.com/2026/02/10/global-cadmium-tellur...
The layer of CdTe on a thin film PV module is extremely thin, so at current prices the cost of Te is a very small fraction of the cost of the module.
People tend to have a completely inaccurate view on this because of bad popsci, out-of-context feasibility studies from the 1950s and fiction that just leans toward the "fantasy" on that.
The reasons for this is are very simple:
1) There is no "high ground". Being in orbit does not enable you to throw things "down" for free, thats simply not how orbital dynamics work. All the impact energy you have to pay for up front, and delta-v on some orbital object is almost inevitably more expensive than the equivalent amount of explosives on the ground.
2) Anything launched from beyond earth orbit would be unusably delayed. And telegraphed.
3) The concept does not have a single selling point from a military perspective; not really faster than an ICBM, penetration is limited by newtonian physics regardless of speed and more expensive than just delivering the equivalent amount of explosives (or nuclear payload) via missile.
edit: Yes an interplanetary transport system could be weaponized. But so could the explosives currently used in mining (~tens of millions of tons per year), no one cares.
And we're not even talking about "orbital" bombardment. We're talking about a continuous stream of material at well above escape velocity, whose delta-V is already paid for. Simply redirecting a few pieces of this stream would not be more telegraphed than any other attack. By the way, are you sure the control systems of the mine owners are resilient to coercion of their executives by "legitimate" terrestrial governments? I'm not. None of your reasons are effective.
The energies are substantially more than mining explosives, with wildly different properties as far as threat detection and mitigation. To put it charitably, that's a quite silly comparison.
Edit: now that I'm thinking about it, maybe the best mitigatiom would be to extrude all the mined material into some other very high surface area shape that can't survive reentry, no matter the mass, but can survive being accelerated for the trip home. Maybe a big long truss, with the engine at one end. And then also limit the payload size.
I don't know what exact scenario you are talking about here.
Even a huge construct (1000 tons?) at escape velocity has less energy than the smallest of nuclear weapons (20kt), and a tiny fraction of the explosives used in mining right now (at least megaton TNT equivalent/year).
> By the way, are you sure the control systems of the mine owners are resilient to coercion of their executives by "legitimate" terrestrial governments? I'm not. None of your reasons are effective.
Are you just playing devils advocate here? There is few things that I'm less concerned about than mining explosives being confiscated and repurposed for some shady-government terror campaign.
> If North Korea or Iran could hold the world hostage with a threat of a mass-extinction-level event, they absolutely would. Similar for many terrorists of various stripes. Are you sure the control systems of whatever company ends up trying to bring back mass from space will be sufficiently resilient to hacking? I'm not. So, I worry.
North Korea has weapons of mass destruction already, and delivery vehicles for them. So what? Those destructive capabilities are already much greater than anything they could ever hope to gain from ursurping some space-mining operation within the next centuries.
Russia has even greater capabilities and plenty of imperialist desires to fulfill, but those nuclear threats did not seem to help them gain anything of consequence over the last decade, and not for lack of trying.
The thing is that any organization wealthy/powerful enough to realistically gain access to militarily relevant systems will typically also have enough to lose to disincentivize haphazard use. Rare exceptions like 9/11 demonstrate how much circumstance is required to get around this.
Global annual production of platinum is 180 tons.
Clearly not, otherwise there would have been many more mass extinctions.
In any case, shifting that by a couple of orders of magnitude doesn't save the argument.
Meanwhile, consider what a relatively minor event caused https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer . I don't know the exact size needed for an equivalent meteor impact, but it's a lot smaller than the Chicxulub impactor and we still don't want to get anywhere close to it. Even something like the Chelyabinsk meteor, which injured over a thousand people, would be a half-decent terror weapon.
>Vegetable farms and solar farms both need lots of sunlight and open space. But how do we divide our limited lands between these two priorities?
We are in no way limited by farmland space. Farmland utilization has been dropping since WWI thanks to the invention of artificial fertilizer, and even without artificial fertilizer at current population levels we would have never ran out of farmland although there would be a lot more of it. All across the midwest you will find tracks of land that use to be farmland, but is now either overgrown with trees, grass, or shrubs and completely unutilized for any human purposes. And our main limitation to growing even more food if we wanted a bunch extra for some reason would be fertilizer production/energy, not land space.
This is great science and knowledge, but I don't expect anything useful coming from it for farming on earth. There is no shortage of dirt that the sun shines on now or anytime soon, and no matter how efficient your panels, plants, or extra lights are, the sun is free and a greenhouse is way cheaper than anything else you could possibly build.
Meanwhile, when planning and streamlining infrastructure for cities and large urban centres some do look to guidelines such as minimising transportation (food into cities, refuse out, etc) and transmission line costs.
Food production has water, sunlight, fertiliser etc. requirements, energy generation (solar, wind, coal, oil, gas) similarly has geolocation (sunlight for solar, temperature differentials for wind, mine / port access for solid fuels, pipelines and tanks for gas) requirements.
Urban planners also look to stability of supplies and robustness of systems (if X fails, what do we fall back on).
These are the manner of things that can put dual use demands on various parts of the ring about large urban areas.
its _far_ cheaper to retrofit carparks than it is roofs. generally there is nothing under a carpark apart from tarmac. Unlike a roof which was designed for a specific weather loading (be it wind, rain or snow)
You also need to attach the panels to the roof, its generally simpler to bolt into tarmac compared to bonding to a weather proof seal.
Let the people build.
1. Development Miracle Substance
2. Try to replicate the properties without Cadmium, Mercury, Arsenic, and Lead
3. Figure out how to scale production
4. Congratulations you're selling the material, but 6 months ago another team had a break through, so the loop resets.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TumxO2glmPQ
Image: https://www.cell.com/cms/10.1016/j.xcrp.2026.103555/asset/c8...
Paper: https://www.cell.com/cell-reports-physical-science/fulltext/...
Datacenters in space are for Elon & his stock price, nothing more. Meanwhile we are not prioritizing things like this nearly enough. Solar on earth is what needs to be rolled out in a massive way, for our current energy needs and for datacenters.
Remember spacex is a public company and you can short the company at any time if you believe what you're saying. Why not profit off it?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50428018
Have the panels mostly cover the crops in the day time (improve yields) and export to the grid (reduce or eliminate electricity costs), then turn on LEDs for some portion of the night (improve yields) and import enough to offset your exports (use any excess you have from the day time).
In those situations, the additional cost could be zero or even a net benefit with some increase in crop yield.
Lookup the energy needs to grow plants, panels are like 25% efficient, you'd need to put most of it back into the LEDs to grow anything. Growing LEDs aren't your regular 5w home light bulbs, you need a lot of energy to grow plants.
This is the classic out of depth HN take
This does lead me back to the idea that to cover greenhouses with translucent panels, you would need translucent panels to have undergone a price drop comparable only with regular panels. Which is unlikely. And then you have risks like hail risks that multiply when covering greenhouses with panels. Although that might be an upside, since greenhouses in NL are actively going towards break free glass which is pretty expensive. So perhaps there is a break free translucent solar panel upgrade route that could work out. (I am sceptical, but it is a nice idea indeed. Light is a spectrum and not all light is equal in photosyntesis.)