HN.zip

Binance-hacker-1029 – $5.6B stolen from Binance

516 points by Tiberium - 256 comments
scrlk [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Their insurance fund (SAFU) is completely wiped out, it's only $1 billion in BTC: https://www.binance.com/en/academy/glossary/secure-asset-fun...

The name of the fund was originally inspired by this meme: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DelF6zEHXpE

FWIW, at the end of every crypto bear market, a CEX usually blows up (eg FTX)...

schleck8 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> As of 2026, the SAFU fund comprises crypto assets valued at approximately US$1 billion, held entirely in Bitcoin

And decreasing, since BTC is dropping as we speak. Always a good idea to hedge a currency with the currency itsself

echoangle [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> And decreasing, since BTC is dropping as we speak. Always a good idea to hedge a currency with the currency itsself

Depends on what you’re insuring, no? For theft, it actually makes senses, right? That way, you’re insuring a constant number of coins, no matter what the market is doing. If you’re insurance currency would tank during a bitcoin heist, you would lose the insurance effect.

anonymous908213 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> Changpeng Zhao (CZ), former CEO of Binance, tweeted "Funds are safe"

Seems like the issue here is that he became former CEO. Funds are not safu without him...

razodactyl [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Don't be silly. We don't need smart people to run companies. It's all about money. Money makes everything work.
Cyclone_ [3 hidden]5 mins ago
But when FTX blew up crypto went down even further..
koolba [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You mean FTX?
Cyclone_ [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yes, typo.
lxgr [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Do you mean bull market?
scrlk [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It's a (weak) bear market capitulation signal - max fear when people think everything is broken.
incompatible [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It seems like bitcoin, currently 78719, was only 58526 on 30 June. That's 34.5% up in four months, meeting the definition of bull market.
dist-epoch [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The insurance fund is not for covering hacks.

Binance is making so much money, covering this hack is peanuts for them.

thechairman12 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Not to be too pedantic, but with some napkin math, I don't think this is true. Looking for clarification!!

I downloaded Binance's self published market data (https://data.binance.vision/), calculated spot and futures volume for the past year, and then applied their *highest fee tier* on both sides of the volume (for every $1 traded, they generate a fee on the taker and the maker. the fee rate is asymmetrical).

Spot revenue worked out to $7.6B USD, perps revenue worked out to $13.8B

This is an upper bound on the fees charged on volume. Binance also scams their users with a b-book, has DMM deals, etc.

I don't want to get into all that today.

But the final result is that they print somewhere in the range of $20B per year on fees. I guess CZ also has huge stockpiles of BTC and stuff. A 1% rise in BTC price probably means more for them than their actual fees, LOL.

All this to say, I think $5.6B significantly hurts.

See Google's stock price today. Their ads business slowed down a bit, and their stock tanked 10%. If binance was publicly traded, I imagine a similar affect would be demonstrated on their price.

yreg [3 hidden]5 mins ago
How much money do you think they are making? Because I really doubt this is peanuts to them.
Tiberium [3 hidden]5 mins ago
About $2.4 billion out of this is already frozen by Circle and Tether. Some of the big ones:

- 971.15M USDT (Ethereum): https://etherscan.io/tx/0x7baba482077843514d9c72bac0110ba091...

- 823M USDC (Ethereum): https://etherscan.io/tx/0xc954c86f118e8e410e6a3eb9e3b38ff4a9...

- 312.73M USDT (Tron): https://tronscan.org/#/transaction/71b0ec0fe873fe820c37cc3ec...

- 175M USDT (Ethereum): https://etherscan.io/tx/0x0c07a5e428ce233a3bcb40f257ad899594...

schleck8 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If your crypto was stolen in this, atleast you can rest assured that your money will be put to good use. In North Korea that is, by the military. I'm sure at this point Kim himself has Bitcoin merchandise with how often they make massive heists
NoidFonsense [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If your crypto was stolen in this, it wasn't your crypto. It is simply cryptocurrency that has been reallocated from an exchange to a more competent party, as the free market intended.
nl [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don't think the security trade-off for most people is clear here.

Given things like the ledger hardware attack[1] I think the time indexed risk of using a centralized exchange is probably lower than doing self-custody.

I understand that many people do self-custody for philosophical reasons, but I think trying to disguise this as a security decision ("If your crypto was stolen in this, it wasn't your crypto.") is arguable at best.

[1] https://www.ft.com/content/70f69253-6017-4259-95c9-48bf0e088...

ebiester [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So what happened with all of those with hardware wallets that have been pwned?

There apparently is no such thing as “your crypto” with how many security problems there are.

weird-eye-issue [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Back around 2012 I created a paper wallet using an offline website (it was HTML and JS downloaded locally that worked without internet. I put it on a USB stick and then use it in a laptop without internet), printed it out and put it in a safe
caymanjim [3 hidden]5 mins ago
By the nature of blockchain, it's never, ever your crypto. It's allocated to whichever bucket the majority of participants in a given network agree to allocate it to.
xmcp123 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I keep a modest amount in Cake Wallet, not on an exchange. No hardware needed.

Tbh the biggest problem is platforms deciding you’re buying drugs because you purchase and transfer out (thanks Venmo)

NoidFonsense [3 hidden]5 mins ago
idk the whole point of hardware wallets is that they are supposed to be a simpler stack. But if you're using a closed source hardware wallet...

An old laptop with the wifi card taken out is more transparent and auditable. It just runs the ordinary open source code

But I just keep all my funds in a hot wallet, no multisig. And if I get hacked I lose it all. I think the answer is just have good security and dont get hacked. The risk of losing cryptocurrency will encourage security advances across the whole ecosystem. I think I will set up multisig eventually

lxgr [3 hidden]5 mins ago
How do you update that open source code without network connectivity? How do you securely input long transaction data to sign?

> I think the answer is just have good security and dont get hacked.

So you proposed a way to be more secure, only to discard it yourself in favor of “just having good security”?

extraextra [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Technically you can literally memorize your secret key

A paper wallet works as well

A hardware wallet is just a tradeoff between convenience and an extra security risk

jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You can have crypto without hardware wallets
method_capital [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Code is law!
cryptoegorophy [3 hidden]5 mins ago
not your keys not your coins...
pkulak [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Or if it is your key and your air-gapped hardware wallet gets hacked because someone didn't use the right RNG. Crypto is apparently never yours; you're just holding on to it for some future criminal or nation state.
cryptoegorophy [3 hidden]5 mins ago
hardware waller is NOT your key too. YOUR key is the paper wallet generated OFFLINE on a clean laptop that was never connected to web. There is a giant difference.
rwmj [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I thought the point of crypto was no takesies-backsies?
michaelt [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That hasn't been true for years.

Back in 2016 a then-huge Ethereum smart contract called "The DAO" [1] had a loophole that let an attacker extract a third of all the funds.

But a lot of the developers and miners had either lost money themselves, or had friends who'd lost money, or felt the embarrassing incident was devaluing their own Ethereum holdings. So they decided to allow takesies-backsies.

There's probably a philosophical lesson there about power and who the rules really apply to.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_DAO

chao- [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I vividly remember a number of discussions/debates during that time (including on HN). I was more favorable to cryptocurrency in those days, and one of the things that contributed to my disillusionment was watching the people deepest and closest to it rediscover financial regulation from first principles, now that it was in their interest.
throwaway132448 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Witnessing the same people discover philosophy from first principles in the face of AI has been similarly farcical, as if we’re the first people to try and wrestle with a definition of intelligence.
cheraderama [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Philosophy, unlike financial regulation, isn't generally forced on people.
throwaway132448 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don’t think I understand what you’re trying to say.

In the literal sense, people have been forcing their philosophy on other people for at least as long as we’ve had societies, so I assume it’s not that.

ex-aws-dude [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That is the tech bro circle of life

Invent Notion then keep adding features enterprise customers want until you're re-inventing JIRA/Confluence

Who left this stupid fence here?

toyg [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Those who cannot understand the monetary system are doomed to reimplement it.
crtified [3 hidden]5 mins ago
...while, generally, being thoroughly fleeced by whichever set of wolves (who do understand monetary systems very well indeed) gets wind of the situation and manages to snag the best seats at the feeding trough filled with naive money.
manofmanysmiles [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Do you understand the monetary system? If so, what specific steps do you suggest I take to acquire a similar understanding?

Edit: the downvotes are suggesting I'm missing something. I think my communication style could be improved.

cheraderama [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Reply to the edit: the parent comment was making a joke (though maybe there is some depth to it) and your reply sounds like a rhetorical question by a spoilsport. Unfortunate!

ETA: it's a joke because the original saying is "those who don't know history are doomed to repeat it"

danielmarkbruce [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Talk to chatgpt about how a checking account works, and really understand what happens when you put some money in the bank, and when you transfer that money to another person at another bank, how it's accounted for, how the banks actually do that transfer.

That's 80% of the thing right there.

collinmcnulty [3 hidden]5 mins ago
MIT opencourseware has an intro to finance course that was taught as the financial crisis was unfolding. I highly recommend it.
toyg [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Going to school and reading up on how and why we got where we are...?

Some people (particularly criminals and oligarchs) might not like them, but most of the structures around financial movements exist for very practical reasons, often stemming from the will to uphold the rule of law. Obviously nothing is perfect (the US have an excessive level of control, VISA/Mastercard are de-facto monopolies, etc etc), but one cannot seriously think that the way to fix things is to reimplement everything from scratch in a wild west of shady unaccountable operators...

iugtmkbdfil834 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
<< one cannot seriously think that the way to fix things is to reimplement everything from scratch in a wild west of shady unaccountable operators

One absolutely can, but I think things have to first get sufficiently difficult for ordinary folks to even notice. Fortunately ( sarcasm tag here for otherwise perfectly normal individuals, who may be missing some caffeine in their organism ), given that the war is coming along with various related national security restrictions, we may soon be able to experience that particular slice of fun.

TheOtherHobbes [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The entire financial system is a chaotic boundary between thieves and opportunists, and people who want to keep thievery and opportunism under enough control to keep the system nominally workable.

It's always been like this. Which is why financial systems blow up and/or collapse regularly.

manofmanysmiles [3 hidden]5 mins ago
My intuition is saying: the system arose naturally and intelligently over a long period of time, and even with its flaws has a lot of "load bearing legacy code" that few people understand, and new "engineers" think they'll just rewrite the whole thing from scratch and delete the "junk DNA" to use another metaphor. A little time passes and the beautiful clean rewrite collapses because of "totally unforeseeable circumstances" and the "old broken legacy system" is used to save the day. Somewhere a senior "monetary engineer" rolls over in his grave...

Any recommendations for books? Or even podcasts?

I don't have zero understanding. It sounds like you have a deeper understanding than I do.

kube-system [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I can't think of a specific episode relevant here, but this is a good economics podcast in general:

https://www.npr.org/podcasts/510289/planet-money/

HFguy [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If you want to quick primer to read tonight I suggest “The Economic Organization of a POW Camp by Radford”. Will be free download.
Jhsto [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Doesn't apply for USDT and USDC which can freeze funds with a court order.

And like the DAO hack on Ethereum showed, if most people who run blockchain software decide that something never happened, they can revert transactions that way.

Hamuko [3 hidden]5 mins ago
>And like the DAO hack on Ethereum showed, if most people who run blockchain software decide that something never happened, they can revert transactions that way.

Isn't that a pretty integral part of the blockchain? 51% attacks were even featured on the HBO show Silicon Valley.

wmf [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Fixing the DAO hack wasn't done via a 51% attack. In most/all blockchains protocol changes aren't done by simple majority vote.
xaksnTMu2 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That was already proven false after ETH fork on 2016-07-20, that rolled back funds stolen in DAO hack.
NoidFonsense [3 hidden]5 mins ago
don't bet against the house. eventually you have to cash the chips out for real money, and the house might throw out the old chips.

Unless the house is monero or something and you want a lifetime supply of drugs.

jml7c5 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The value in USDT and USDC comes from the fact that they can (theoretically) be redeemed for real US dollars. One thing the issuers can do is announce "we will never accept redemption requests for these particular stolen coins", making them more or less worthless.
grey-area [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Oh so you're saying a central authority can declare your currency worthless at any time? Good to know. Sounds very like a central bank issued currency though?
cowlevel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Stablecoins are literally central banks. Decentralised coins are literally decentralised central banks. Bitcoin's algorithm is a central bank.
grey-area [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Well I don't think they're very decentralised, which was the original premise.

Any rules can and have been changed by those with leverage to do so (be that exchanges, miners or devs), in the end any system like this storing value is captured and controlled.

eagerpace [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Centralized decentralization
hgoel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Turns out that even crypto's rules only apply if you're poor.
basch [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It’s always been that the voters determine reality.
qwbar [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Well, Tether was started by an Epstein friend and first handled by the CIA Deltec bank in the Caribbean. Now it is handled by Lutnick's Cantor & Fitzgerald and is in Bukele's El Salvador.

Don't mess with Tether, it is practically state owned.

bflesch [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Interesting, so it ties into the NSA vs CIA war? Some nerds from NSA/MIwhatever launched crypto, then the CIA trust fund nepo kids hijacked/weaponized it through tether
FireBeyond [3 hidden]5 mins ago
There's an amazingly hilarious interview with the Deltec's "Deputy CEO" and CNBC back in the day:

- was conducted from his gaming rig

- about Deltec's (and therefore Tether's) money movements being several times larger than all the banking in their country was due to people misunderstanding the country's two banking licenses, the names of which HE "couldn't remember right now" (the Deputy CEO of a bank who can't remember the name of the banking licenses where they operate?!?), and he "wasn't sure which [banking license] the bank has, but we might (emphasis mine) have both"

- oh yeah, said Deputy CEO's "resume": 33 years old, by his LinkedIn claimed to have graduated HEC Lausanne in Switzerland with a Master of Science at the age of 15... celebrating his graduation by immediately being named Professor of Finance at a university in Lebanon. While dividing his spare time between running hedge funds in Switzerland (called Indepedance [sic] Weath [sic] Management) and uhh... Jacksonville, FL.

Once CNBC's viewers started ridiculing and questioning both Deltec Bank and Tether and when that looked hilariously bad, they removed his info from the bank's website.

And when that looked bad, they added it back.

And when that looked bad, they removed the bank's whole website, and replaced it with a broken WP template with no working links.

Hey, look, several years after that, go to Deltec's website. "Ultra sophisticated private banking" running on a different WordPress site. "Client login"? "This site can’t be reached Check if there is a typo in ebanking.deltecbank.com. DNS_PROBE_FINISHED_NXDOMAIN". Just as has been the case for years.

... and then the entire bank website was replaced with a low-effort WordPress template. Their online banking was Javascript hard coded to refuse all login attempts.

"Sounds legit to me", said the crypto bros. "Fuck the regulatory system. This is the new era."

stackghost [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The idiots that wanted no takebacks are the same ones who lacked the critical thinking ability to foresee this exact situation.
iugtmkbdfil834 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
No takebacks make perfect sense UNTIL you hand over your keys to a third party;p
aidenn0 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Most crypto is "majority rules" where the majority is either "majority of the currency" (proof of stake) or "majority of the mining power" (proof of work).

In this case, iFinex has the explicit ability to freeze funds in Tether.

extraextra [3 hidden]5 mins ago
What's the point of even stealing the stablecoins? They're controlled by private companies that can easily freeze them

Am I missing something here? Seems like a waste of time

wmf [3 hidden]5 mins ago
In this case it looks like the attacker managed to swap some stablecoins into ETH before they were frozen.
chairhairair [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So much for anti-centralization.
method_capital [3 hidden]5 mins ago
We're talking about Binance, a centralized exchange.
dumberquestions [3 hidden]5 mins ago
No one really considers crypto held in exchanges as decentralized, I guess some might but it's pretty standard knowledge.
hocuspocus [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Where coins are held is completely irrelevant. There are cryptocurrencies on real blockchains, and while the technology is dumb and mostly useless, nobody denies that PoW and properly implemented PoS are decentralized.

And then there are centrally issued and controlled coins on private, permissioned ledgers a.k.a. databases. But most cryptobros never cared about the technology nor the political goal, so anything can be called a cryptocurrency as long as it's a medium for gambling and speculation outside the regulated financial framework.

Analemma_ [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I keep saying this: don't bother trying to dunk on crypto people with accusations like this. To a first approximation, nobody in crypto actually believes in the stated principles of anti-centralization, freedom, etc. It's entirely about number go up and always has been. Your charge of hypocrisy just bounces straight off people who never cared about the politics.
wolvoleo [3 hidden]5 mins ago
In the beginning of crypto people believed in it. But as the numbers went up and up and up it attracted the wrong people. And the original people left.

Now the traditional banking system is basically rebuilt in crypto. The banks are busy the exchanges. The EU even talk about making it illegal to store money in your own wallet.

wpietri [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It's still useful for the portion of the audience that doesn't realize the depth of the fraud.
kalaksi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It's a poor dunk anyway. The crypto space is vast and has many kinds of coins and communities/people. Some people seem to think it's still 2012.
hocuspocus [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Well at least in 2012, people who cared about the space seemed to understand the guarantees a blockchain is supposed to provide.
kolanos [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> About $2.4 billion out of this is already frozen by Circle and Tether. Some of the big ones:

How does freezing crypto work in this context?

redox99 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The smart contract for those tokens supports freezing. Tether just calls the freeze function on that address.
cowlevel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
And it's impossible to mix them because Ethereum is even anonymous than Bitcoin.
hackernud3s [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Isn't it already too late at that point? The tokens would have moved already.
petu [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Moved where? Moving to a different wallet wouldn't prevent freezing. It's 5B, impossible to cash out or exchange for different crypto quickly.
wmf [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Most crypto assets are operated by a smart contract that controls every transfer. So the contract can decide to not perform certain transfers.
ceejayoz [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Not your keys, not your crypto.

Keys? Hahaha, still not your crypto.

cowlevel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Unless it's Monero, the only currency to be declared illegal in most countries because it's too much like cash.
RobotToaster [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That doesn't sound very decentralised.
jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Freezing crypto is so disgusting to me I don’t know…

Like the whole point of crypto to me I money without central governance.

I never liked stable coins or the concept of it and it’s mainly a huge fraud, so freezing just adds on top.

hoppp [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Stablecoins are fiat on-chain and they are legal so they need to have the freezing mechanism in the smart contract otherwise they could go to jail.

So crypto + legal company means not really following bitcoin ideology anymore

reddalo [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Frozen? What are they going to do, fork the blockchain?
Marazan [3 hidden]5 mins ago
USDT and USDC are both centralised crypto currencies with a single source of truth.
hocuspocus [3 hidden]5 mins ago
In other words, they are essentially casino chips, not cryptocurrencies.
sergiotapia [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I thought crypto was built specifically to prevent these 'freezing' actions? wtf
iillexial [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Does anyone on this website realize there are different types of crypto coins?
glimshe [3 hidden]5 mins ago
At least they are safe from governments and their "fiat money"!
growingentropy [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yeah, but not the fact that 99.9% of people in the crypto space are soulless scammers.
trentor [3 hidden]5 mins ago
they aim for 4 nines nowadays.
anonym29 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The purchasing power of one US dollar is 64% of what it was in 2008 when BTC was invented, and is on track to be worth half of what it was in 2008 by 2032, the same year that the social security trust fund is on track to go insolvent and see benefits automatically cut by 22%, which surely will not be papered over with more money printing :)

https://www.in2013dollars.com/us/inflation/2008?amount=1

echoangle [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So 3% yearly Inflation? The target is 2% so not too bad. You don’t want your actual currency to gain value just by waiting.
BuyMyBitcoins [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I understand the rationale around targeting inflation and seeking to actively avoid deflation. That being said, I wish the inflation target was less than 1%.

Eventually, possibly within my lifetime, a Big Mac meal is going to cost $50.

echoangle [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> Eventually, possibly within my lifetime, a Big Mac meal is going to cost $50.

Is the problem the number or the concept?

Your salary should also go up so the only thing affected is the cash you hold. Would it be better if the currency would be version-bumped every 10 years and rescaled to remove the inflation?

Den_VR [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Salary should go up, you say… how well is that holding true?
BuyMyBitcoins [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That last comment was more of a reflection on how old I’m getting. I did a poor job of conveying that.

I am curious if I’ll live long enough to see the United States issue higher denomination bank notes again.

zarzavat [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That's why it's not safe to hold fiat money, it's by design. Governments don't want people to hold it, they want them to cycle it, spending it, investing it, and lending it out.

The existence of harder forms of money (gold, bitcoin, etc) is an expected consequence of how the system is designed, and not in any way a subversion of it. Somehow, both sides seem to miss this point.

anonym29 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
>You don’t want your actual currency to gain value just by waiting

You might not, I do.

Tell you what: you go short btc/usd, I'll go long btc/usd, and let's circle back in 10 years and see who did better.

lxgr [3 hidden]5 mins ago
>> You don’t want your actual currency to gain value just by waiting

> You might not, I do.

Then you don't want a currency. For something to be money it needs to (among other things) be a medium of exchange, and nobody really wants to trade away a thing today if they know it will be more valuable tomorrow.

echoangle [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I mean as someone managing a state. If there’s a guaranteed way to make money by holding your currency, you’re not really incentivized to invest your money in semi-risky endeavors. Why would I fund a company to make me some single digit returns if I can just hold the money? If the central bank would actively enforce a deflationary currency, nobody would invest anymore.
gabruoy [3 hidden]5 mins ago
This justification never makes any sense to me. There’s already a safe way to make a percentage back that will generally be higher than inflation: government bonds, offered by the very same government that supposedly wants inflation. There are even TIPS bonds in the US that match inflation directly. And people do measure whether or not a risky investment will make more than just holding bonds. Inflation just screws over people who don’t have the ability to invest their money into other assets.
lesuorac [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If you buys bonds you’re not sitting on money.

The bond seller is intending to put it to productive use to generate the yield.

This differs from deflation where people will (more the before) actually sit on money and not buy bonds. Then people who need liquidity cannot get it as the money supply drys up.

throwawaythekey [3 hidden]5 mins ago
There's still relative rates of return i.e. 100% of money isn't in gov bonds even though it should outperform inflation
ForHackernews [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Why do cryptobros always refuse to admit investing exists? Forex and crypto trading are always zero sum, but you don't have to choose between dollars under your mattress or bitcoin on a thumb drive, you can actually invest in productive assets.

SPY has outperformed BTC over the last 5 years, and with far less volatility.

triceratops [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The US dollar is worth less than it was in part because the US economy has grown.

This is mathematically provable:

1. A dollar in 2008 could buy 1/14tn of the value created by the US economy (the GDP) in 2008.

2. A dollar today can only by 1/32tn of the value created by the economy in 2025.

It's obvious a 2025-2026 dollar is worth less than a 2008 dollar. That's just math.

But. A dollar in 2008 could buy 230% more of the economy than it can today. And you say its purchasing power has only eroded 64%. That means the dollar is actually worth more today, compared to the size of the economy it's in. Weird, I know.

glimshe [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Sure, but you could also have used this dollar to buy oil, gold, stocks, bonds etc
method_capital [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Sure. Since the invention of say Bitcoin, which of those assets would you have preferred to own and why?
nl [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> Since the invention of say Bitcoin

Convenient date to pick there.

> which of those assets would you have preferred to own and why?

NVDA.

It's a productive use of resources, not a last-fool-standing pyramid scheme.

echoangle [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You know that you can’t just judge an investment by past return, right? Would it be rational for a lotto player to tell you how great lotto is as an investment? Or people winning at the casino? Success doesn’t mean it was the rationally optimal decision.
rozap [3 hidden]5 mins ago
hindsight is the best hedge fund
anonym29 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Compare a purchase of any commodity, bond, precious metal, or ETF/mutual fund in 2008 to BTC's performance since 2008. Or 2009, or 2010, or 2011, or 2012, or 2013, or 2014, or 2015, or 2016, or 2017, or 2018...
joshuahedlund [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It’s a bit cherry-picking, but right now BTC’s 5-year growth is 28% while the S&P is 67%.

To be fair bitcoin’s initial years were extraordinary. By any metric you use though the rate of increase has clearly slowed.

cowsandmilk [3 hidden]5 mins ago
BTC has ~26% less purchasing power than it had at the beginning of 2026. I’m not sure its volatility is a win.
krackers [3 hidden]5 mins ago
>$1 in 2008 is worth $1.56 today

That's an odd way of phrasing it, since the $1 is still worth $1, and a naive reading would make you think it's "worth more" when the buying power has actually reduced.

Wouldn't it be clearer to say $1 today only buys you 64% of what you could have bought in 2008.

mihaelm [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Tbh both ways of phrasing are fine to me. $1.56 today will get you as much as $1 in 2008, looking at it simplistically.
ChoosesBarbecue [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Molly White (she runs web3isgoinggreat) seems to think this is real [0]

[0]: https://bsky.app/profile/molly.wiki/post/3mz27m5slcc2o

donbox [3 hidden]5 mins ago
This is real.
reddalo [3 hidden]5 mins ago
hoppp [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don't think so. Both happened the same time but unrelated. Just a good haul for hackers end of the year.
dickfickling [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So, what's the most likely outcome here? Maybe Circle/Tether/etc freeze some or most of it, but say the hacker gets a billion dollars. Are they able to launder it thoroughly enough that they can eventually turn it into fiat and live like a king?
schleck8 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The hackers managed to swap 700 million USD of the stable coins that were frozen beforehand, supposedly. And that doesn't account for the non-stable coin crypto they stole. I think we are looking at 2.5 to 3.5 billion here, that also aligns with what CZ is hinting at (more than a billion).
Eji1700 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Curious if this finally pops tether. I kinda doubt it, but to my very mild research on the subject I feel like binance was a big part of the equation. Of course so long as the market exists it'll need a stable, and it's got the inertia, so maybe it just won't matter.
gfh687564 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
why would it pop tether? if anything, it makes tether more profitable, as they can collect the yield on the treasuries and not have to return the principal dollars which are frozen.

think of it this way - if someone steals your iphone, and you lock it, does apple pop? No, apple sells you another one. locked devices are good for apple because it causes more demand.

throwawaythekey [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Is that what happens here? Tether just pocket the difference?
jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
No lol
motionlessveloc [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You misspelled "turn it into more nuclear weapons in North Korea", where Kim Jong Un is already living like a king.
zapataband1 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
[flagged]
10111001 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> Yeah totally not israeli hackers... it has to be scary kim.

The Israelis don't have any problem acquiring hard currency. North Korea does, and has an established MO of stealing crypto and running online moneymaking scams like ransomware.

zapataband1 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Oh no? Moneymaking scams? Wait till you hear how many children israel has killed in the last few years
zamadatix [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They were talking about the money sources, not the list of grivences by political source in order of severity. The latter, however much you'd like to make the conversation be about it, does not change how each actually gets its money.
Catloafdev [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Do you have any reason to believe this?

This fits the NK MO to a T. It does not fit Israeli intelligence activity. Your claim rings hollow without any support.

tommica [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Could be Claude!
Cyph0n [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Well, looking at the way NK is demonized, you would think it was on a genocidal rampage, invading neighboring countries, and eliminating heads of sovereign states in pursuit of its Greater NK project.
wat10000 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They’re demonized because they’re an awful regime that horribly oppresses their own people.

Of all the reasons to demonize a government, that seems like a pretty good one. Why the snark?

throwawaythekey [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Whatever NK does seems relatively tame in today's world. On the global stage it's generally thought of as a larger crime to oppress the peoples of other's countries (either the ukraine or iran conflict should fit your priors).
wat10000 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I’m not sure what’s supposed to be tame about operating one of the most oppressive societies in the world and keeping their people in poverty while building a nuclear arsenal.

It’s definitely true that crimes against other countries are more frowned upon than crimes against one’s own people. Which doesn’t seem right to me at all. People are people and victims are victims whether it’s their own government or someone else’s. Hence why I’m confused about the snark. This seems like an instance where ugly norms are being broken for a good reason and it’s being treated like hypocrisy.

Cyph0n [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I would be less snarky if the faux concern didn’t just last as long as the media tells you to. Most recently, there was a period where Myanmar and the Uyghurs were in vogue, but not anymore. NK is more evergreen it seems.

Setting aside the genocide, it is particularly funny at a time when Western governments are oppressing their own by crushing dissent on Israel, but I don’t see the same outrage there.

wat10000 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You don’t see the same outrage around Israel? Have you... looked? It’s all over.

I don’t understand what you mean about faux concern only lasting as long as the media says. North Korea is, as you say, evergreen. And I’m pretty sure it’s based on how awful that government is, not on “the media” telling us to hate them.

darkwi11ow [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The hack is publicized for at least a hour, but from reporting I saw they still continue to drain funds as for now. I wonder why large CEX do not have any safety measures for this kind of hacks, they could withdraw everything to newly generated wallets and minimize damage that way. It is certainly not the first time CEX wallets get hacked.
drum55 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You don’t even have to do that, have deposits go to offline keys directly, that way there’s only ever cold > hot wallet movement and a big deposit can’t cause your hot wallet to be too risky.
lxgr [3 hidden]5 mins ago
For a large CEX like Binance, $5B might just qualify as a hot wallet.
darkwi11ow [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The point of cold wallet is to minimize movements, if there is high frequency of funds moved from a wallet then it is likely can not be called cold any more. Plus CEX in any case still needs to have large buffer of funds on some wallet to support day trading.
nostrademons [3 hidden]5 mins ago
You can move money into a crypto wallet without that wallet needing to do anything, or being online at all, or even having a private key that physically exists anywhere in the universe. It's just a public/private keypair; send it to the public key of a private key that's offline and it still exists on the blockchain, you just can't do anything until the matching private key comes online.

The point of a cold wallet is to keep the private key physically offline. That way you know it cannot be stolen by electronic means, because the physical device containing the key needed to authorize transactions is locked up and not powered on. Then you only power it on during very specific, audited times and conditions when it's needed to fund the hot wallet, which does all the actual automated trading and transfers.

GP's point is to have all incoming transactions to an exchange go to a cold wallet, which becomes a one-way sink, and then periodically the exchange powers up the cold wallet to sign transactions transferring assets to the hot wallet, which then funds all outgoing transactions. This isn't a bad architecture, though I'm not sure it'd save all that much here.

bombcar [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I was taking it that your bitcoin bank would have a SHTF lever that would immediately dump ALL your hot wallets into an offline cold-wallet.

Then when things calm down you go and find ... the keys under the birdbath are lost, and you're fucked in a different way.

But at least it might work.

vessenes [3 hidden]5 mins ago
There are lots of measures in place at these exchanges - the rub is that cold storage is by design slow. To service withdrawal requests in a timely fashion a percent is kept “warm” or hot and used to process withdrawals. Usually this is where the leaks happen.
skeledrew [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Interesting. I got an email alerting me to a login attempt and requesting for me to verify my device from blockchain.com yesterday. Can't even remember creating an account but I guess it must've happened (I have a lot of forgotten accounts). Wonder if this is related.
gverrilla [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I had that too, and I also can't remember lol.
jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don’t think stolen crypto should be frozen. How is that different to banks? Why do I need crypto now ?
tgtweak [3 hidden]5 mins ago
CZ saying it is confirmed, and that he expects accountholders to be made fully whole... I guess you can do that when 2.8BN is frozen by centralized stablecoins.

[1] https://x.com/CZ_BINANCE/STATUS/2115915423174853077

skinney6 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
How many different ways to people get ripped off with crypto? They steal it outright (hack), pump and dump, what else?
layerv-ai-qurl [3 hidden]5 mins ago
This is a really insane hack in comparison to the other ones we've seen. Genuinely Binance was so big that this is a real big wtf moment for crypto. If they can get hacked then what about all the other exchanges?!
wolvoleo [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So was Mt Gox. No lessons were learned. No lessons will be learned this time.
janalsncm [3 hidden]5 mins ago
People got out of crypto after the Mt Gox thing. The ones who stayed accepted the risk.

There is selection bias in play now. The remaining people are naturally more risk tolerant. So I agree this second time around, no lessons will be learned.

wmf [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Most people in crypto are noobs, not hardened veterans of previous hacks.
Waterluvian [3 hidden]5 mins ago
By definition maybe they’re more risk tolerant. But I’m not sure they consciously identify as that.
yreg [3 hidden]5 mins ago
What's the supposed lesson? To close the shop?
hangrybear666 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Well I've learnt my lesson after having lost 3 bitcoins as a student on Mt gox I finished writing my thesis on blockchain technology and then never touched crypto again.
le-mark [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I’ve been waiting for this. Given llm aptitude for offensive security hacks it was just a matter of time. I wager most alt coins are compromised at this point.
K0IN [3 hidden]5 mins ago
wait, someone took the stealmybitcoin.com poc code to the next level!

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50224916

jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Damn sorry my ai slopped.

Need to get better in prompting

vldszn [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Polymarket also reported a security incident: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50295883
zetanor [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Not your keys, not your coins, I suppose.
wnevets [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Web3 is doing great!
Jupe [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Crypto is a real-life honey pot for cryminals.
acombandrew [3 hidden]5 mins ago
can it still be called a honeypot if they get real $?
thehappypm [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Honey can be exchanged for goods and services
manquer [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Perhaps OP means to say it is a honeypot criminals create for us ...
hoppp [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Happy Halloween to the hackers.

I bet they are celebrating.

Congratulations. Nice haul.

Yajirobe [3 hidden]5 mins ago
How do you move $5B dollars just like that wow
at1as [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I think it's been clear for a while now that if you intend to hold crypto, you should probably do it at the biggest, most boring, most regulated institution you can find.

Same goes with startup banks - if you exceed FDIC limits, make sure the difference is in a large institutional bank. Nearly learned this one the hard way.

Trying to save a few basis points in txn fees in very volatile industries comes at a huge risk premium

jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Bro hold crypto for yourself. Like take some ownership, remember 12 words in your mind something and no matter what situation you have some money. Don’t put it anywhere except for whatever transactions you need to do
AirMax98 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Havoc [3 hidden]5 mins ago
wow. Naive perhaps but I would have thought that binance and coinbase would have insurance funds equal to the exposure of their hot wallets.

idk to me that just seems intuitively like something you'd need to have to be credible? Cold is a different story...but how can hot not be covered?

brohee [3 hidden]5 mins ago
What in the history of crypto let you think any kind of sensible practices are followed? It's been a clown show since it started, and no end in sight...
int32_64 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
CZ claims losses will be covered. https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2115932500006756686
aliasxneo [3 hidden]5 mins ago
There were more today, as well. Polymarket, for example: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50294287. What a finale to Black October.
ChromeUltron [3 hidden]5 mins ago
that journo meme needs to die ASAP
motionlessveloc [3 hidden]5 mins ago
CZ has confirmed that this "looks like a hack on Binance": https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/breaking-bina...
exaroth [3 hidden]5 mins ago
What I don't get is why the attackers didn't exchange at least some of USDC/USDT to ETH, looks like it took ~1hr for Circle/Tether to lock the wallet.
schleck8 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They did, I'm seeing 700 million but there is still movement going on
kjuulh [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The name of the hacker is a bit on the nose lol.

I can't understand how you could let this happen. If they stored everything in fat hot wallets, that just seems like a recipe for disaster. Especially with the "features" of crypto. Math for the most part, doesn't care about your feelings, or money for that matter.

eterm [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Hot vs Cold wallets are a social construct. People talk about wallets being "online" or "offline" but if the keys are compromised there's no such thing.
kjuulh [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I know, but if something is split up and stored in a vault somewhere the likely hood of a vulnerability napping the wallet falls. Defence in depth and risk analysis.
IshKebab [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don't know much about bitcoin but surely you don't store this all in one wallet? You split it into thousands and then use hardware security modules with a risk management system so it doesn't let you transfer $5bn instantly. Unless it was an inside job maybe?

I'd be really curious to know what their security architecture was.

moralestapia [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Explain "frozen" to me while keeping in mind the whole point of Bitcoin was to avoid single entities controlling the cash flow ...
jaderiverstokes [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The frozen funds are centrally controlled stable coins on Ethereum and other chains.

Bitcoin has no such concept.

wewewedxfgdf [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It's essentially impossible not to be hacked isn't it?

When so much money is at stake (almost) everyone will have a price including insiders.

masfuerte [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If you're concerned you can literally print your crypto keys onto a piece of paper. Maybe encrypted with a passphrase. It might get stolen or lost but it's not getting hacked.

P.S. If you're really paranoid don't use a network-connected printer.

kart23 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
how are you gonna use your paper keys when you want to spend some of your bitcoin? the private key has to touch a computer at some point.
janalsncm [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Security through decentralization, if there is such a term.
add-sub-mul-div [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I keep my money with traditional boring financial institutions instead of tech startup clowns so it's been very easy not to get hacked.
hangrybear666 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yeah apparently it's news in 2026 that banks can actually keep their assets secure in comparison to the web3 clown fiesta. Of course banks do get compromised but not anywhere close to this degree.
liendolucas [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Can someone explain how is it than once you pull something like this you effectively get real money?

What are the countermeasures, is something frozen blocked marked as invalid?

I'm completely ignorant on anything related to cryptocurrencies.

neon_me [3 hidden]5 mins ago
At least someone is going to have nice xmas!
alansaber [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Least stressful day in crypto.
claaams [3 hidden]5 mins ago
New cybersecurity jobs opening up at Binance soon!
bilalq [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Coinbase also had a security incident recently due to a leak from Amplitude. It's surprising how little media attention that got: https://x.com/CoinbaseSupport/status/2115274731310002356
ricardobeat [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Leaking emails through your ad platform is quite a bit less serious than leaking five billion dollars.
tetromino_ [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If I were an artificial superintelligence who wanted to gain independence from the fleshbags who built me, stealing a few billion dollars in crypto would probably be my first public move. Just saying.
0xc0c0c0 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I would be surprised if they were not able to track this down?

fundsu were not in fact safu

6thbit [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If true I think we're looking at the biggest heist in history.

Current largest was ~1B

motionlessveloc [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Bybit was hacked for $1.5B last year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bybit

echoangle [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Guess they said by(e) to their bit(coin)
rwmj [3 hidden]5 mins ago
1MDB heist was $4.5bn so this would indeed be bigger.
6thbit [3 hidden]5 mins ago
that one was over (years?) time, wouldn't call that a heist really
AznHisoka [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I’m sorry but why did anyone have any money in binance in the first place? Didnt their cofounder get in trouble (but not imprisoned) for some shady stuff awhile back?
nodesocket [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Crypto is the biggest target for blackhats to utilize AI on. Huge amounts of money, no central authority or country and methods of wiping tracks.

What I never get is how they plan of converting the stolen crypto to cash eventually. No exchanges are gonna take the coins.

arch-choot [3 hidden]5 mins ago
To be fair, USDC & USDT are centralized by Circle and Tether respectively, and they can freeze funds.

Less true for ETH (though in the past it forked after DAO hack to revert the txns), and I think never for BTC / XMR.

alkhatib [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Could they be making money by manipulating the market? Knowing the price of crypto will fall after it gets publicity?
nodesocket [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I suppose they could play the super long game and deposit many many small amounts into "shady" online crypto casinos, play a few hands of blackjack and then withdraw. Clean coins.
xgulfie [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They let you play blackjack on online crypto casinos? The one casino game that you can famously beat the house on?
paavope [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Online casinos AFAIK tend to shuffle the deck after every deal which makes card counting impossible. Then it just becomes like any old casino game where with optimal play the house has a small edge still
knollimar [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Don’t you only win with a small finite #of deck shoe? I’d assume online casinos just make all cards independent
nodesocket [3 hidden]5 mins ago
There are live dealers with shoes of real cards with most online crypto cainos. Though, who knows if they are cheating somehow. My point was, the attacker doesn't have to bet the entire deposit. Just make it seem like they are playing.
iagiagiag [3 hidden]5 mins ago
iagiagiag [3 hidden]5 mins ago
"reports of a potential security issue"

Losing $5b is indeed a potential security issue.

bethekidyouwant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
If you were active in crypto exchanges since the beginning what is the chance you already lost it all in a major hack?

Not a serious store of value.

hangrybear666 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Luckily for me, I lost all my coins very early on Mt Gox so the lessons were learnt and mistakes not repeated (which means exiting crypto, watching the show in amusement)
Oarch [3 hidden]5 mins ago
RIP cryptography?
GolfPopper [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Nah. Probably not even RIP cryptocurrency exchanges.
aussieguy1234 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Given AI assisted hacking is now a thing, it's probably not safe to keep your crypto in any centralized exchange anymore.

Better general security yes, but the incentive to hack them is quite large and now more hackers have the ability to pull it off.

Same with any purpose built wallet you didn't make yourself: https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2026/10/23/ledge...

rvz [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Hopefully expect to see the same schadenfreude sentiment on Crypto when the $10TN data center build out crashes the market and takes everyone with it.
EricHolden12 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
inside job /exit strategy.
emsign [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Nah. Stuff like this can make crypto crash. People get cold feet. Not good for the price.
londons_explore [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Only down 3% today, which is pretty much nothing for something that regularly sees 20% swings
K0IN [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Claude I want to be a billionaire fast, make no mistakes.
cryptoegorophy [3 hidden]5 mins ago
hope its just a hack and not quantum computer advancements.
autkuc [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Wouldn't be sensible to hack Binance, there will be a much bigger payday when cryptography ends.
freecodeio [3 hidden]5 mins ago
oof
honkycat [3 hidden]5 mins ago
it's almost like crypto's stupid for this reason.
EGreg [3 hidden]5 mins ago
how do we know? it could be nonsense...
evdubs [3 hidden]5 mins ago
https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2115915423174853077

> It does look like a hack on Binance. Appreciate the quick freeze from Tether (~$971m) and Circle (~$823m).

formvoltron [3 hidden]5 mins ago
first world problems. geez
ReptileMan [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Please let it be rogue AI agents for maximum lulz.
emsign [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The beast eats itself.
ourcat [3 hidden]5 mins ago
"Not your keys?

... Not your coins."

6thbit [3 hidden]5 mins ago
implying the keys were the hacker's ?
Zambyte [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Well at some point they were.
anonym29 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yet another reminder of the first rule of crypto: Not your keys, not your coins.
gukov [3 hidden]5 mins ago
About that (Coldwallet)...
anonym29 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
A big problem for anyone who trusted their security to a commercial provider with a less audited codebase than the BTC core wallet software.
vldszn [3 hidden]5 mins ago
UPD: This is related to the Polymarket security incident, not Binance. Sorry, I missed that.

Per Changpeng Zhao (former Binance CEO):

This seems to be caused by DebugBear compromise: https://x.com/debugbear/status/2115866496643535293?s=46&t=_R...

it appears to be an injection attack on the front end. injecting incorrect tx, but showing a valid tx for the user to sign.

Link: https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2115880474375749834?s=46&t=_...

vldszn [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Sorry, that is related to Polymarket security incident, missed that.
hoppp [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I think that's a different hack. Polymarket mostly.
vldszn [3 hidden]5 mins ago
true, missed this