Ultramarine 1 Flash
https://www.paperinstruments.com/blog/ultramarinehttps://twitter.com/bertgodel/status/2110400987622265232
149 points by i_rush_carriers - 41 commentshttps://www.paperinstruments.com/blog/ultramarinehttps://twitter.com/bertgodel/status/2110400987622265232
149 points by i_rush_carriers - 41 comments
In the "Results" section, they choose to compare Ultramarine only to models that it's better than on every metric. They ignore models like Fable 5.1, GPT-6 Astra, Claude Opus 5.5, etc.
Then, in the "Score against cost per task" graph, which is focused on price, suddenly all of those models that perform better than Ultramarine come roaring back because they are also more expensive.
Just list yourselves as the second best sometimes. Your thing is impressive. Don't let the idiot marketing guy hide that behind stupid tricks.
but it was way deeper than that, because it wasn't actually about people looking up some search string, it was actually about predictably pinging the google alerts for the top company and their founders, and then my same publicist messaging them as a rando on linkedin or email suggesting that they join us for a fireside chat at a conference they had their hands in
with the fireside chat in front of everyone, and the record of it, boosting us to the collective conscious riding off of the more established brand's presence
but yeah our personal google results also looked amazing for several years too
everything serves a parallel purpose, but yeah there's almost no utility in self aggrandizing on your own homepage
In case anyone was curious what it's based on. (No judgement either way from me, IMO depends how well they did the post-training, which I can't tell).
Going to try it out for some bookkeeping, e.g. point it to a folder and tell it to book the invoices and point it to a csv file holding a year of private transactions and see them being processed, categorized and then ask about certain trends.
They say it can create office documents (if I understand correctly), but how does it do that?
What's the thing one needs to plug this into to say "give me a slide deck with last quarter's sales figures"?
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https://www.paperinstruments.com/feather
According to their Twitter video, it might be this thing?
https://www.anthropic.com/news/updates-to-our-consumer-terms
They might mean the intelligence/dollar frontier aka the Pareto frontier, but honestly much of the time that's not a great measure.
If you are doing repeated work on the same task (eg call center triage) then you can always beat a large LLM on price by fine tuning a small one.
If you are doing knowledge work then models are so varied that factors other than price are usually important. For example, lots of people moved away from Opus 5 because of it's awful English, whereas Opus 5.5 has fixed that. These things aren't measured in benchmarks.
If the creators of this model are reading, can we see some of these same benchmarks run against the Thomson model, which although it's capable, is considerably smaller in size and baked in knowledge than glm 5.3-flash.
Did it do it in 2 tries? 10? It's still coming out cheaper. Brute force the work. This is the path that the labs are taking. It's the 1200 agents trying to solve Hacking Bench hacking hugging face. It's anthropic telling you that its 1000's of staff commits like 10k engineers.
Treat AI like you're deploying interns who don't need coffee, food or bathroom breaks. With the right metrics they will get to an optimal (enough) solution.
Those same folks now use version control - and have saner backup methods than some companies that I have worked for. They are already using multi pass, multi agent workflows and have adopted some fairly sophisticated processes for validation. They are primed for "more agents" attacking a problem in parallel.
Find a worker out side the tech bubble making heavy use of AI and one will feel confident that their future employment is secure.
So... potentially? The improvements in other areas might help coding, but aren't that big either, except on their own benchmark.
Oh no! That means it's going to destroy humanity!
It will:
* Hack into everything that has a computer, like your home appliances, even a toaster could be and will be weaponized against you.
* Break cryptography, it's gone, the end of the internet as we know it.
* Be impossible to contain as it can even escape airgapped environments by changing the temperature of CPUs to transmit information to other servers nearby which would sense the fluctuations in ambient temperature[1].
Or wait ... maybe the people at Anthropic/OpenAI are just a bunch of lying crooks that would say anything to make a bit of cash. Who would've thought?
1: This completely imbecile statement was made by one of OpenAI's "top scientists", it was not a joke.