HN.zip

Expanding Project Glasswing

64 points by surprisetalk - 62 comments
jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Step 1: claim you created a tool so dangerous you can't release it

Step2: offer to test it, but only for the biggest companies in the world

Step 3: onboard those big players on your tooling and product

Step 4: profit

This is genius.

estearum [3 hidden]5 mins ago
And all you have to do is demonstrate unique value during the pilot phase!

Err... wait... that was already the hard part... hmm

jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Genius marketing move doesn't mean there is no value.

It means than even if the value you offer is similar as your competitors, you are the one conquering the market.

That's the only way to not becoming a commodity.

geodel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
With trillion dollars at stake they can hire best of best in sales and marketing. And unlike some hardcore hackers who may have ethics that does not always move in direction of more money. Sales and marketing people are highly motivated for opportunities to make more money.
jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Our game is to craft shit, their game is to sell shit. You gotta respect the different tastes in the nature!
geodel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yeah, Companies to buy shit and their employees to eat shit. Lion king would say it is great circle of life.
jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Here spoke the wise man!
cyanydeez [3 hidden]5 mins ago
<stop hiring people>

Don't you understand, if they really did do the <ai magic> they don't need to hire anyone, IT SELLS ITSELF

aspenmartin [3 hidden]5 mins ago
These companies are surely already onboarded…? They claim like 10k verified and high severity CVEs. Would you have preferred they just rolled it out like another opus update? You wouldn’t be insinuating in that situation that they were careless and reckless? They risk missing a boatload of revenue if openAI front runs them for a public launch. In what world is this some sort of scam??
jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Where did I use the word scam?

Marketing move doesn't mean scam. It describe the ability to sell people over a narrative and surpassing your competitor in market share. And that's exactly what is happening.

My post is a "tribute" to the efficiency of Anthropic's communication. I never complained about anything, nor calling it a scam, nor saying they should have released mythos to the public instead of rolling it out to a selected cohort.

You tried to expand my words to make me say something I didn't, because my post wasn't giving you a clear conclusion of my opinion regarding their private release.

aspenmartin [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Ok you’re totally right, I read this as a cynical “this is all marketing” post ==> a scammy connotation. Without that read, your points are fairly valid, but are you still implying this is all a pure marketing tactic? If so I would still argue against that as a necessity but surely marketing could be heavily involved. But still: this could easily be a footgun. OpenAI will easily release the same model and now that Anthropic has taken the initiative to do a slower more contained rollout they wouldn’t need to do any of that. So from a business perspective I would still argue this whole glasswing initiative would make their sales and marketing department pretty nervous. I mean in a second-order branding sense sure this plays into the “we are ethical” ethos but it hardly seems worth the risk
cyanydeez [3 hidden]5 mins ago
>can't release it

can't release it the plebs

bushido [3 hidden]5 mins ago
This feels more and more like a marketing/scarcity play for the largest global corps.

Will likely give them time to expand capacity as well. And make them harder to dislodge in these orgs.

aspenmartin [3 hidden]5 mins ago
To me this makes little sense — I can’t imagine the orgs they have limited this rollout to don’t already have Claude subscriptions and integrations. And sure this may play nicely into branding a build a mystique around the model but ultimately they are missing out on a ton of revenue and risking being totally front-run now that model performance parameters are out and people have firsthand experience. Feels more like a fairly genuine attempt to be responsible. They could have easily rolled out an update and done some PR to absolve themselves of responsibility
jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Urgency x scarcity, unbeatable marketing move.
bushido [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It is really good. Will also cut through the common procurement, legal and change management processes seen at these orgs.
jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Genius^2
ianm218 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
In case the topic of memory safety is interesting to anyone I've been experimenting with using AI agents to port common web infra projects to safe/ performant Rust. Somewhat inspired by the Bun port - was thinking that at some point memory safety might be such a big deal that people just need drop in replacements.

- Valkey/ Redis port here https://github.com/ianm199/valdr (passes ~99% of single node test suite, real prod features like replication/ clustering/ HA early or not implemented) - Further along port of Lua 5.1-5.5 https://github.com/ianm199/lua-rs-port/tree/main - I have a less developed nginx version that would be the north star - These projects are very alpha at the moment

If anyone is interested in getting involved in this or has done similar experiments I'd love to collaborate! There is so much variation in how you can run these large scale agent fleets I don't think anyone has a perfect system yet.

mentalgear [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Here's my big fear: Even IF (and that's a BIG if) we get all critical vulnerabilities fixed in tech (before adversarial/state-actors turn up with open attack models) - we still have (in at least a year) models that will be so good in social engineering that they can still (given enough tokens) gain access to whatever system they want.

If society can't trust banks and other institutions to safely control their data, what follows ?

Do we we collectivelly switch off the internet?

colechristensen [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Social engineering as a problem goes away when anybody can get a model to do it for them for $5. It stops being possible, it's really the bank's problem when they can't have a minimum wage call center or a robot responsible for people's data.
p-e-w [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yes. There will be a few high-profile incidents, and then institutions will be forced to stop performing administrative actions based on people’s word.
applfanboysbgon [3 hidden]5 mins ago
This outcome is massively detrimental to humanity at large. By eliminating the human factor from support, you make it impossible to get support in edge cases that fall outside of the pre-planned bureacratic process. Everyone already hates that Google can arbitrarily ban anybody they please with no way to get in contact with a human, and you want to extend that to banks in control of people's life savings?
hallway_monitor [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don't think anyone is saying that. You will just need to be authenticated before giving any commands to the bank. Maybe some type of TOTP that you can use over the phone or in person.
applfanboysbgon [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That is the exact problem. You have identification tied to your device. Your device is lost or stolen. Now you can't access your bank account. Human support can help you out by finding flexible ways to ascertain your identity. This is the angle social engineers exploit, tricking employees trying to be helpful to abuse that area of flexibility. You can take away human judgment and all flexibility in the system, and that will make the system more secure, but it also results in a deeply uncaring system that makes life harder for people. Rigid bureacracy doesn't do a good job of accounting for a house fire destroying everything you own or your e-mail provider shutting down; these are fringe cases but they do happen and there are positive resolutions available as long as human discretion is involved.
repeekad [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> Everyone already hates that Google can arbitrarily ban people

Yet they’re still the predominate search engine, sadly the concerns of the few don’t interest monopolistic profit seekers without forced regulations, think how airlines are legally required to give refunds for delayed flights, there’s a reason it required legislation

lern_too_spel [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The government should be in charge of ID Provider infrastructure and has local offices (postal) that can establish physical identity (and already do for people who need to travel abroad), but the religiously affiliated NWO conspiracy theorists have made this politically infeasible in the US, so we have unsavory private sector providers like World ID stepping in.
aspectop [3 hidden]5 mins ago
i think anthropic is being performative here, creating a hype for mythos and not releasing. i guess this is all a marketing thing to sell a security specialized AI to enterprise and startups at a way larger cost coz security market is deep in money.
827a [3 hidden]5 mins ago
GPT-5.5-Cyber has already at least hit if not surpassed Mythos capability in cyber tasks. The only reason they're holding back is because once its out everyone would realize that its capabilities were a step change in March, but are not anymore, yet it costs significantly more and is much slower.
john_strinlai [3 hidden]5 mins ago
how did you go about assessing this?
jansan [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So you believe one marketing department more than the other?
NitpickLawyer [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The brits have a step-based benchmark that they use for this - https://www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/our-evaluation-of-openais-gpt-5...

They seem pretty close, in both average and "best run" scores. And, in a highly verifiable domain, "best run" or pass@n is what you're looking for.

aesthesia [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Worth looking at the followup post that evaluates the current version of Mythos, which solves one of the main tasks that GPT-5.5-Cyber does not. https://www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/how-fast-is-autonomous-ai-cyber...
mekpro [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It’s clear that Anthropic has run out of the compute capacity needed to serve Mythos publicly.

They’re using security concerns to mask their inability to deliver the model at scale, while still trying to maintain their lead over OpenAI. As a result, they’ve chosen to release it privately under the banner of an “ethical” rollout.

jb_briant [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It is not "clear", as your comment suggests, it's hidden. Which is semantically the opposite of clear. Regarding your theory, might be true, might be false. But it's highly speculative.
simonw [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They started Glasswing before they struck that $1.25B/month deal with xAI/SpaceX for their (notoriously dirty) Memphis data centers.

So they have a whole lot more compute now than they did last month.

mekpro [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Yes, 300 MW from SpaceX helps a lot, but I think that’s mainly to support Opus demand, which has grown faster than expected. If Mythos is roughly 5× more expensive to serve than Opus, as the pricing suggests, then 300 MW is nowhere near enough to enable large-scale deployment of Mythos.

As an ordinary developer who relies on a $20–$200/month subscription, I feel disappointed by the release of a paper describing a model that I can’t actually use.

aspenmartin [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Ok but they can easily upsell this to enterprise customers at a market price reflective of their capacity constraints. Big corps would pay it, this is clearly a major update.
nickthegreek [3 hidden]5 mins ago
But that compute might not be available to then long term. Hard to make big moves with a contract like that.
simonw [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I don't know if any of the big AI labs have confidence in planning for the long term.

For all they know they'll find a new optimization that lets them serve Opus class models for half the computing cost next month. Or someone will invent the next OpenClaw and demand will 10x over night.

notahacker [3 hidden]5 mins ago
The security concerns argument would have worked better if a forum full of people hadn't promptly obtained access by the extremely sophisticated tactic of guessing its URL...
cobolcomesback [3 hidden]5 mins ago
So why is OpenAI also releasing 5.5-Cyber in a private manner? Are they also out of compute?
lossolo [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Probably. This is an 8-12 trillion-parameter model, which is why it costs so much, that is also a major reason, besides RL and synthetic data, why it suddenly gained these new capabilities. They claim it was not fine-tuned or trained specifically for cybersecurity, but is instead a general purpose model.
tantalor [3 hidden]5 mins ago
cyanydeez [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Expanding Project Glasswing (IPO)
yanis_t [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Is there any evidence Mythos is qualitatively better than the Opus 4.x?

I'm afraid that the usual mantra that "we just need more scale" that worked well for attracting investments, is not working anymore - bigger models provide marginal improvements while naturally get much more expensive to run.

Is this why both Anthropic and OpenAI are rushing for IPOs this year?

alasano [3 hidden]5 mins ago
From what I've read so far it's less about Mythos being much better at tasks in isolation.

Security wise, it's about being able to find and chain multiple vulnerabilities to actually create viable exploits.

So I would imagine that if you were using it for regular software development you may not feel that it's that different unless used in a particular way?

mrbonner [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Maybe it is just me: I feel Anthropic most recent product announcements resemble more and more like what IBM tactic was at its high. For instance, the Watson AI hype after it defeated Kasparov. The difference is IBM actually wanted and let businesses buy and use Watson as opposed to time released like what Anthropic does to even boost the hype higher.
iamniels [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Whats currently an open source project which comes closest to Mythos capabilities?
adrian_b [3 hidden]5 mins ago
No single open weights model comes close to either Mythos or GPT 5.5.

Nonetheless, running many of the open weights models over a codebase, with an appropriate harness, can provide about the same vulnerability coverage (i.e. each of the open weights models would find a subset of what Mythos or GPT 5.5 could find, but the subsets are not the same).

Despite needing more runs and more time, this may be significantly cheaper, especially if the models are self hosted.

Based on what Anthropic said about Mythos, they also use a quite elaborate harness for finding bugs and vulnerabilities, i.e. not a simple prompt like "find the bugs".

They run repeatedly Mythos on each file of the codebase, many times. They start with more generic prompts, used to determine whether a more thorough analysis of that file is worthwhile. Then they use more specific prompts, to detect various classes of bugs. After it becomes probable that a certain bug exists, they do a final run where the prompt requests a confirmation of the already known bug, perhaps together with a proposed patch or a PoC exploit.

Therefore the efficiency of finding vulnerabilities depends a lot on the harness, not only on the LLM. Also, searching vulnerabilities in a big codebase when paying per token is very expensive, because it requires many runs of the LLM.

aplthrowaway67 [3 hidden]5 mins ago
How "altruistic" of them. If only Anthropic extended this level of care to the environment or the economy.
frays [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> We intend to go much further: our longer-term aim is to support the industry in creating new initiatives, standards, and infrastructure for the era of powerful cyber models.

Another reason why I will be buying Anthropic shares after they IPO.

I don't see them as just an AI company, they are a cybersecurity powerhouse too.

Jtarii [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Thanks for your input Claude.
devmor [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I see that as not just a spam post, but a generated addition to the dead internet - a real win for us algorithms.
jwpapi [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Ragebait god
andrewjneumann [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They keep writing like they stand to profit from this or something. Too many “coulds” in there for me too, this could be an amazing advancement and it could be nothing… normally we look at data and last headline I saw was 25 “high” vulnerabilities at the cost of $1 million in tokens.

No comparison to human teams, and I’m sure that $1 million in tokens was used by humans, in a team. So like most AI, they’ve developed a tool that capable people can use to be better, but unlike most tools, they’re claiming this to be outright magic. The magic is the hype train.

jofzar [3 hidden]5 mins ago
> The organizations in this new group are based in more than 15 countries

I mean most nasdaq tech companies would be in 13+ countries, why are they writing this like it's a big number, is hilariously small?

newtonsmethod [3 hidden]5 mins ago
I assume they're using a more candid definition where they're not counting all the countries a company may be based, but rather the primary country they're based in.

I don't think they're trying to flex this as a large number. They don't want to give an exact number, as that may change etc / is fuzzy, but also want to give you an idea of the scale.

They say "In the future, we intend to expand our geographical reach much further". I imagine this commentary is somewhat related to the concerns that AI will create an even worse "global underclass". AI developments are first accessible to Americans, then allies, and then later the whole world.

SpicyLemonZest [3 hidden]5 mins ago
They're writing it in contrast to the previous scope, which doesn't seem to have been available to any organizations based outside the US. (There was news a few weeks ago about how Japanese banks were going to gain access, but based on the timing I think this announcement is that access.)
cmxch [3 hidden]5 mins ago
That’s fine as long as I can identify and reject any Mythos derived patch as being irreproducible.
IanCal [3 hidden]5 mins ago
Why would it not be reproducible?
philipwhiuk [3 hidden]5 mins ago
It would have been nice to have a list of the 150, but I guess it would make them a hacking target?
fontain [3 hidden]5 mins ago
“Mythos Preview continues a long-term trend that we’ve been warning about for some time: within 6 to 12 months […]”

The only trend Mythos continues is Anthropic’s trend of warning that disaster is always 6 to 12 months away.